Mentioned in Podcasts

Episode · Freakonomics Radio · 2016-01-14

Books mentioned on 233. How to Be Less Terrible at Predicting the Future

2 books · With Philip Tetlock · Listen

Experts and pundits are notoriously bad at forecasting, in part because they aren't punished for bad predictions. Also, they tend to be deeply unscientific.

Stephen Dubner discussed Expert Political Judgment by Philip E. Tetlock and Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock and others.

Books mentioned, in the order they came up

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  1. Expert Political Judgment

    Philip E. Tetlock · at 9:50

    Expert Political Judgment by Philip E.

    Discussed
    “This study became the basis of a book that Tetlock titled Expert Political Judgment. It was a sly title because the experts' predictions often weren't very expert.”
    Stephen Dubner 233. How to Be Less Terrible at Predicting the Future 2016-01-14
    Where to get it
    AmazonListen on Audible

  2. Superforecasting

    Philip E. Tetlock; Dan Gardner · at 11:19 · mentioned 4 times

    Superforecasting by Philip E.

    Discussed
    “He tells the story in a new book called Superforecasting, co-authored by the journalist Dan Gardner. The book is both a how-to, if at a rather high level, and a cautionary tale”
    Stephen Dubner 233. How to Be Less Terrible at Predicting the Future 2016-01-14
    Where to get it
    AmazonListen on Audible
Other mentions in this episode (1) — ad reads, self-promotion and passing references, never counted
Passing Fantasy Football for Smart People
“Bales is 30 years old. He lives in Philadelphia. He's written a series of books called Fantasy Football for Smart People.”
Stephen Dubner 233. How to Be Less Terrible at Predicting the Future 2016-01-14
Link to this list from the episode’s show notes

For the whole show, see the Freakonomics Radio page.