Episode · Freakonomics Radio · 2011-09-14

Books mentioned on 41. The Folly of Prediction

1 book · With Vlad Mixic, Steven D. Levitt, Philip Tetlock, Christina Fang, Hayes Davenport, Joe Prusacki, Tim Westergren, Robin Hanson · Listen

Human beings love to predict the future, but we're quite terrible at it. So how about punishing all those bad predictions?

Stephen Dubner discussed Expert Political Judgment by Philip E. Tetlock.

Books mentioned, in the order they came up

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  1. Expert Political Judgment

    Philip E. Tetlock · at 16:05 · mentioned 2 times

    Expert Political Judgment by Philip E.

    Discussed
    “The study became the basis of a book Tetlock published a few years ago called Expert Political Judgment. There were two major rounds of data collection,”
    Stephen Dubner 41. The Folly of Prediction 2011-09-14
    Where to get it
Other mentions in this episode (2) — ad reads, self-promotion and passing references, never counted
Passing Fooled by Randomness
“that's Nassim Taleb the author of Fooled by Randomness and the Black Swan”
Stephen Dubner 41. The Folly of Prediction 2011-09-14
Passing The Black Swan
“that's Nassim Taleb the author of Fooled by Randomness and the Black Swan”
Stephen Dubner 41. The Folly of Prediction 2011-09-14