Episode · Freakonomics Radio · 2011-09-14
Books mentioned on 41. The Folly of Prediction
Human beings love to predict the future, but we're quite terrible at it. So how about punishing all those bad predictions?
Stephen Dubner discussed Expert Political Judgment by Philip E. Tetlock.
Books mentioned, in the order they came up
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Expert Political Judgment
Expert Political Judgment by Philip E.
Discussed“The study became the basis of a book Tetlock published a few years ago called Expert Political Judgment. There were two major rounds of data collection,”
Where to get it
Other mentions in this episode (2) — ad reads, self-promotion and passing references, never counted
Passing Fooled by Randomness
“that's Nassim Taleb the author of Fooled by Randomness and the Black Swan”
Passing The Black Swan
“that's Nassim Taleb the author of Fooled by Randomness and the Black Swan”
