Episode · Conversations with Tyler · 2020-04-22
Books mentioned on Philip E. Tetlock on Forecasting and Foraging as a Fox
Accuracy is only one of the things we want from forecasters, says Philip Tetlock, a professor at the University of Pennsylvania and co-author of Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction.
Other mentions in this episode (4) — ad reads, self-promotion and passing references, never counted
Passing Superforecasting
“Accuracy is only one of the things we want from forecasters, says Philip Tetlock, a professor at the University of Pennsylvania and co-author of Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction.”
Passing Range
“David Epstein the guy who recently wrote range there”
“going back to Paul Neil a Mis little book on clinical versus actuarial approaches to predicting in medicine and psychiatry so I would say be humble now”
“a study reported that study in 1984 but Bob Putnam collected the original data and he reported in a book beliefs of politicians from which the 1970s and I think those data were based on interviews with members of the British House of Commons”