Episode · a16z Podcast · 2020-10-08
Books mentioned on How to Decide, Convey vs. Convince, & More
It seems like investors are especially obsessed with the psychology of decision making -- high stakes, after all -- but all kinds of decisions, whether in life or business -- like dating, product management, what to eat or watch on Netflix -- are an "investment portfolio" of decisions...
Jeff Jordan discussed How to Decide by Annie Duke. Annie Duke discussed Thinking in Bets by Annie Duke and Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock and others.
Books mentioned, in the order they came up
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How to Decide
How to Decide by Annie Duke is a practical guide that offers simple tools and mental frameworks to help readers make better choices by separating decision quality from outcome quality.
Discussed“So Annie, as the author of one of my favorite books, what motivated you to do a sequel, your new book, How to Decide, simple tools for making better choices, how to decide?”
Where to get it
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Thinking in Bets
Thinking in Bets by Annie Duke is a popular nonfiction book exploring how to make better decisions under conditions of uncertainty and how to avoid evaluating choices solely based on their eventual outcomes.
Discussed“So when I think about what Thinking Invest was about, it was really the way that our decision making gets frustrated by this kind of discorrelation between decision quality and outcome quality.”
Where to get it
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Superforecasting
Philip E.
Discussed“And this is something like Phil Tutlock, I'm sure a lot of people are familiar with super forecasting, talks a lot about.”
Where to get it
Other mentions in this episode (2) — ad reads, self-promotion and passing references, never counted
“You can catch the podcast we did with her a couple years ago for the paperback release of her first book, Thinking in Bets.”
“But in this episode, we talk about her new book, How to Decide, which picks up where the last book left off.”