Book · 2012 · Bayesian statistical decision theory
The Signal and the Noise
Why So Many Predictions Fail--but Some Don't
- mentions
- 7
- people
- 3
- podcasts
- 3
- episodes
- 3
- recommendations
- 3
The second best thing you can do to learn about analyzing data, short of doing it yourself, is to read what Nate Silver has to say, either in his outstanding book "The Signal and the Noise" or in his new Substack entitled "Silver Bulletin.
Steve Levitt · People I (Mostly) Admire · Oct 2023 Listen at 36:54 What they say about it
- Reference to book title“The Signal and the Noise”5


- Praise as data analysis guide“learn about analyzing data”2

The best things said about it
He's written an excellent book called The Signal and the Noise, which is essentially about the folly of prediction.
Stephen Dubner Freakonomics Radio · Apr 2015 So I want to go back to the book you wrote; it's called "The Signal and the Noise.
Steve Levitt People I (Mostly) Admire · Oct 2023 Where and when it comes up
Most mentions, by podcast
Why people recommend it
The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver is a non-fiction book that explores the science and art of prediction, examining why so many forecasts fail while a select few succeed. The book was featured and recommended across multiple podcast episodes. On an episode of People I (Mostly) Admire, Steve Levitt recommended the book to listeners, stating that reading what Nate Silver has to share in his outstanding publication is the second best way to learn about analyzing data, short of doing the work firsthand. Levitt later redirected the conversation back to the book to highlight its core message regarding prediction failures and to draw comparisons between data science, physics, and poker. Similarly, Stephen Dubner discussed the work on Freakonomics Radio, describing it as an excellent exploration of the folly of prediction while celebrating its paperback publication alongside the anniversary of FiveThirtyEight. Later, on The Daily Stoic, Ryan Holiday spoke with Silver about how mathematical situations and intuition gained from poker relate to the insights and experiences developed while writing his early books. Podcast hosts consistently highlighted the title as a crucial resource for understanding probability, risk, and the limitations of human foresight in complex modern environments.
Every mention
Steve Levitt The second best thing you can do to learn about analyzing data short of doing it yourself is to read what N… 4
“I want to go back to you as a data scientist though because if you were going to be a physicist or a chemist there's no way that you could be a wildly successful physicist or chemist by being a poker player and building some models”
“So I want to go back to the book you wrote; it's called "The Signal and the Noise."”
“The second best thing you can do to learn about analyzing data short of doing it yourself is to read what Nate silver has to say either in his outstanding book The Signal and the noise or in his new substack entitled silver Bulletin”
“The second best thing you can do to learn about analyzing data, short of doing it yourself, is to read what Nate Silver has to say, either in his outstanding book "The Signal and the Noise" or in his new Substack entitled "Silver Bulletin."”
Stephen Dubner He's written an excellent book called The Signal and the Noise, which is essentially about the folly of pre… 2
“He's written an excellent book called The Signal and the Noise, which is essentially about the folly of prediction.”
“We spoke back in early March when Nate Silver had two things to celebrate. The one-year anniversary of FiveThirtyEight on ESPN.com and the paperback publication of his book, The Signal and the Noise.”
Ryan Holiday The thing about poker is you're getting lots of reps with similar situations and—and yeah, mathematical sit… 1
“The thing about poker is you're getting lots of reps with similar situations and—and yeah, mathematical situations, whereas like think about it, so you had some intuition from your first book, then you have intuition from the experience of your second book.”
Also mentioned in the same episodes
Other mentions (10: passing, ad reads, own books)
“When you break it down, I need Nate Silver to do this for me.”
“Nate Silver is an American statistician, poker player, and New York Times bestselling author of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail -- but Some Don't”
“Nate is the founder of FiveThirtyEight and the New York Times bestselling author of The Signal and The Noise.”
“he then took predictions and modeling mainstream with his massive 2012 best-selling book The Signal and the noise”
“He then took predictions and modeling mainstream with his massive 2012 best-selling book, The Signal and the Noise.”
“he's also the author of the bestselling book The Signal and the noise”
“He's also the author of the bestselling book "The Signal and the Noise."”
“she's the founder of the website 538 and the author of the bestselling book The Signal and the noise”
“We're back with a brand new episode featuring data scientist Nate Silver. She’s the founder of the website 538 and the author of the bestselling book The Signal and the Noise.”
“Today we are talking with Nate Silver. He's the editor-in-chief of 538.com, author of The Signal and the Noise, and, as you will hear soon, a would-be curler.”


