Episode · Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova · 2025-02-27
Books mentioned on Thinking Smart About Low-Probability Events
This week, Nate and Maria discuss the asteroid that had a 3% chance of colliding with Earth. That risk is now closer to 0%—but, what does this example reveal about how to consider extremely costly events that are fairly unlikely to come to pass?
Other mentions in this episode (1) — ad reads, self-promotion and passing references, never counted
Own book The Biggest Bluff
“because I was writing the biggest Bluff and so I documented all of it I played my M my first main event for the book”