Book · 2017 · Political Science
Perception and Misperception in International Politics
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He wrote a wonderful book in 1976 that I was in graduate school. I just started in graduate school in 1976. And it's called Perception and Misperception in International Politics.
Philip Tetlock · The Knowledge Project · Dec 2015 Why people recommend it
Perception and Misperception in International Politics by Robert Jervis is a foundational academic text examining how psychological factors and cognitive biases influence decision-making among world leaders and nations. On the podcast The Knowledge Project, guest Philip Tetlock reflected on his early academic journey and discussed the profound impact this specific volume had on his career. Philip Tetlock shared that he had just started graduate school in 1976, the same year Robert Jervis published the wonderful book. The guest credited the work as a pivotal influence that shaped his own approach to research, forecasting, and the study of human judgment in political arenas. By exploring how decision-makers misinterpret signals and intentions from other countries, the book provided a framework that resonated deeply with Philip Tetlock's emerging intellectual interests. The discussion illustrated how certain seminal texts can define an entire scholarly trajectory, guiding researchers as they build methodologies to measure how people process information under conditions of high uncertainty, incomplete intelligence, and diplomatic pressure.
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Philip Tetlock He wrote a wonderful book in 1976 that I was in graduate school. I just started in graduate school in 1976.… 1
“He wrote a wonderful book in 1976 that I was in graduate school. I just started in graduate school in 1976. And it's called Perception and Misperception in International Politics.”
