Book · 1956 · disconfirmation behavior
When Prophecy Fails
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He wrote this book called when prophecy fails and it's a really fascinating story where he was looking in a newspaper and he saw an announcement for the end of the world.
The best things said about it
And uh this was so interesting to these scientists who conducted this that they wrote a book about it uh back in 1957 I think called when prophecy fails.
So a lot of people are familiar with when prophecy fails Leon festinger followed the Seekers from the 1950s.
Annie Duke The Jordan Harbinger Show · Dec 2022 So he recorded this and wrote a book about it called when prophecy fails and the answer is they double down on their belief.
Michael Shermer The Joe Rogan Experience · Mar 2016 And uh this was so interesting to these scientists who conducted this that they wrote a book about it uh back in 1957 I think called when prophecy fails and they summed it up like this but we've said it before but they were in the trenches on the research they said quote a man with conviction is a hard.
Where and when it comes up
Most mentions, by podcast
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Why people recommend it
When Prophecy Fails by Leon Festinger, Henry W. Riecken, and Stanley Schachter is a classic social psychology study detailing an undercover investigation into a doomsday cult and the cognitive dissonance members experience when their apocalyptic predictions fail. John Lisle discussed the book on The Joe Rogan Experience, recounting how Festinger studied a group awaiting the end of the world after seeing a newspaper announcement. On Stuff They Don't Want You To Know, Ben Bowlin and his cohost explored the research, highlighting how the cultists doubled down on their beliefs and quoting the famous observation that a man with conviction is hard to change. Annie Duke cited the book on The Jordan Harbinger Show to illustrate how people double down on losing wagers and disproven predictions. Michael Shermer also brought up the study on The Joe Rogan Experience to explain the psychological mechanics of cognitive dissonance, emphasizing that adherents often strengthen their convictions when faced with contradictory evidence. Across these podcasts, speakers used the work to illuminate the stubborn nature of human belief systems and the psychological defenses deployed against cognitive failure.
Every mention
Annie Duke so a lot of people are familiar with when prophecy fails Leon festinger followed the Seekers from the 1950s 1
“so a lot of people are familiar with when prophecy fails Leon festinger followed the Seekers from the 1950s”
Ben Bowlin and uh this was so interesting to these scientists who conducted this that they wrote a book about it uh ba… 1
“and uh this was so interesting to these scientists who conducted this that they wrote a book about it uh back in 1957 I think called when prophecy fails”
John Lisle He wrote this book called when prophecy fails and it's a really fascinating story where he was looking in a… 1
“He wrote this book called when prophecy fails and it's a really fascinating story where he was looking in a newspaper and he saw an announcement for the end of the world.”
Michael Shermer so he recorded this and wrote a book about it called when prophecy fails and the answer is they double down… 1
“so he recorded this and wrote a book about it called when prophecy fails and the answer is they double down on their belief”
Mentioned on the show without a named speaker1
“and uh this was so interesting to these scientists who conducted this that they wrote a book about it uh back in 1957 I think called when prophecy fails and they summed it up like this but we've said it before but they were in the trenches on the research they said quote a man with conviction is a hard”
