Book · 2006 · Political Science
Overblown
How Politicians and the Terrorism Industry Inflate National Security Threats, and Why We Believe Them
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Great political scientist John Mueller has a book called overblown going over all of it so one thing we can do is just look look at word called near misses.
Bryan Caplan · The Rubin Report · Mar 2017 Listen at 54:18 Why people recommend it
Overblown by John Mueller is a political science book that examines the actual dangers and statistical rarity of terrorism relative to public perception and government policy responses. On the podcast The Rubin Report, guest Bryan Caplan referenced the book during a broader discussion about international affairs and policy making. Bryan Caplan explained that the political scientist John Mueller wrote Overblown to thoroughly review all the relevant data, suggesting that a useful analytical approach involves examining what are commonly referred to as near misses. By looking closely at these statistical realities, observers can better understand how threat levels are often exaggerated in public discourse and media coverage. The conversation utilized the book to advocate for a more rational, evidence-based perspective on national security matters, urging people to ground their political views in empirical research rather than emotional reactions to rare catastrophic events. Bryan Caplan highlighted this academic work to demonstrate how rigorous analysis of historical data provides a clearer picture of actual risks, helping citizens and leaders alike avoid costly overreactions to remote dangers in an interconnected and complex global landscape.
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Bryan Caplan great political scientist John Mueller has a book called overblown going over all of it so one thing we can… 1
“great political scientist John Mueller has a book called overblown going over all of it so one thing we can do is just look look at word called near misses”