Farsighted

“actually the book partially starts with the great excerpt in in Charles Darwin's Diaries where he's trying to decide whether to get married”

“well one of the big themes of the book that runs throughout it in lots of different ways is the importance of storytelling”

“but the other thing I was just gonna say on the storytelling front that one of the places where it kind of came together there's there's a lot in the book about collective decisions”

“so the other thing about simulations is a big theme of the book it's one of those kind of ways in which the book connects to storytelling as well because I think the personal version of this for the should I marry this person or should I moved to California”

“yeah they all had one specific like music whatever yeah there's a funny connection actually to Wonderland my last book which is all about the importance of play and driving innovation”

“yeah there was a direct connection actually between far-sighted this book and and that that piece for The Times Magazine and really the thing that began in all was Walter Isaacson wrote a op-ed”

“so for instance one of my favorite kind of tricks in the in the book is this thing that I'm Gary Klein came up with which is a a technique also to deal with kind of the dangers of groupthink”

“you know pros and cons tables date back to this famous letter that Ben Franklin writes to Joseph Priestley who Quin cently was the hero of my book the invention there but he's like explaining this technique he has which is basically a pros and cons list”

“I think you might've written mothers in your book about how Jeff Bezos believes that you should get to seventy percent certainty yeah I actually I like that technique which is to say don't wait for a hundred percent certainty”

“so I have a question - so you talked a little about the Fox and the hedgehogs one of the things you mentioned your book is the role of extreme person vs. mainstream and I thought that'd be really interesting cuz we think about that a lot”

“one of the things that you put in the book was that one of the key factors is an openness to experience as a real great predictor of very good decision-making prediction etc and I thought that was fascinating cuz I thought of immigrants”